Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 49.943461 57.431292 65.151137 73.668806 82.768621 92.167320 102.576911
2025-12-28 40.744042 51.636789 63.425324 76.982383 92.004814 108.018350 126.260382
2026-01-04 34.631802 47.354359 61.635509 78.547444 97.751982 118.641794 142.854720
2026-01-11 28.872448 42.621942 58.616360 78.078725 100.666110 125.666601 155.067040
2026-01-18 24.304346 38.699494 56.026686 77.639321 103.206495 131.927673 166.113442
2026-01-25 20.973357 35.901819 54.448940 78.096346 106.532904 138.875587 177.754191
2026-02-01 17.686318 32.777940 52.169992 77.453039 108.352296 143.918336 187.073935
2026-02-08 15.119517 30.326846 50.512230 77.377385 110.689252 149.435913 196.832161
2026-02-15 12.605418 27.649331 48.338620 76.473877 111.877757 153.489261 204.794741
2026-02-22 11.111691 26.299176 47.803998 77.549533 115.405566 160.250861 215.871041
2026-03-01 9.903183 25.243624 47.572550 78.940819 119.267486 167.371776 227.341749
2026-03-08 8.152506 23.079645 45.640066 77.984237 120.106602 170.793485 234.389487
2026-03-15 6.407541 20.671128 43.213683 76.282744 119.964927 173.025898 240.056609
2026-03-22 6.042083 20.713708 44.369558 79.416539 125.989332 182.783456 254.732263
2026-03-29 5.376053 20.084592 44.460157 81.053214 130.064877 190.138887 266.520552
2026-04-05 4.350577 18.555962 43.070801 80.568232 131.343616 194.016795 274.099311
2026-04-12 3.474931 17.149482 41.764866 80.122578 132.617022 197.847521 281.590256
2026-04-19 2.868475 16.211677 41.136498 80.587354 135.050729 203.096678 290.784798
2026-04-26 2.186484 14.889242 39.777081 79.932808 135.954195 206.400307 297.586998
2026-05-03 1.684971 13.873101 38.852298 79.855816 137.589362 210.596031 305.459921
2026-05-10 1.180669 12.613506 37.403306 78.936380 138.043617 213.267946 311.439663
2026-05-17 0.945439 12.141845 37.317725 80.030991 141.210293 219.369623 321.634667
2026-05-24 0.768693 11.806861 37.454369 81.446620 144.807073 226.016808 332.505381